24 October 2022 - pariah state
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A Chinese invasion of Taiwan is a project too big to fail, but estimates
say it's still risky. For a quicker invasion, conduct the initial
bombardment with bombs that are too big to fail--nuke the place flat.
With no population or industry left to defend, why intervene? Better
deal with the global economic recession instead. China doesn't gain
anything but territory, but after fifty years or so it will no longer be
a pariah state. Given China's famous long planning horizon, it's an easy
choice, right?
clue:
China has been building a lot of new nuclear weapons.
Losing Taiwan's industry would cause a global economic recession, and
advanced chips like the ones in smart phones would be unavailable or
hard to come by for years. That happens in any invasion scenario.
give me a clue so sweet and true
copyright 2022, 2024 Jay J.P. Scott
<jay@satirist.org>