24 October 2022 - pariah state

A Chinese invasion of Taiwan is a project too big to fail, but estimates say it's still risky. For a quicker invasion, conduct the initial bombardment with bombs that are too big to fail--nuke the place flat. With no population or industry left to defend, why intervene? Better deal with the global economic recession instead. China doesn't gain anything but territory, but after fifty years or so it will no longer be a pariah state. Given China's famous long planning horizon, it's an easy choice, right?