28 February 2022 - Gulf War
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Why was the Gulf War of 1991 successful? Because the planners were
answering an existing war and were pessimistic. Why did the Iraq
invasion of 2003 run into trouble after the "victory"? Because the
planners were starting a new war and were optimistic. Attn Putin: Only
the optimistic start a war. Attn rest of the world: The side with the
bigger army still takes the capital.